🐋 Whale activity anomaly
Whale-tier UTXOs (>10 BTC) minted in the 12-00 UTC window of 2026-10-09: 4,608 — above the trailing 90-day 95th percentile of 4,282. Lift vs baseline decays fast: same-day 1.37× · T+3 1.18× · T+7 1.10× (n=260 fire events since 2020). The signal is coincident, not predictive — but the shorter window catches the anomaly earlier: on average, roughly half the day's eventual move is still ahead when the alert fires. Most recent prior spikes above this threshold: 2026-09-29 (4,638 → same-day +0.1%, T+3 +1.0%) · 2026-09-22 (4,910 → same-day -0.5%, T+3 -2.5%) · 2026-09-19 (4,369 → same-day +0.4%, T+3 +5.9%). BTC closed +0.2% on 2026-10-09 vs the prior day.
More: https://thebitcoinportal.com
#Bitcoin #BTC
Bitcoin Portal Alerts
npub1xg…cwsfd
2026-10-09 09:00:29 UTC
Author Public Key
npub1xgz9n02xwve7xfnwkqv4uq7s7g5tr3zhxefxygtutermfuv7883qqcwsfdPublished at
2026-10-09 09:00:29 UTCEvent JSON
{
"id": "af2c6da85449dfa3936f6d3da348a95074e87c264b630eceddeb84177b54966c",
"pubkey": "320459bd467333e3266eb0195e03d0f228b1c457365262217c5e47b4f19e39e2",
"created_at": 1791536429,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [],
"content": "🐋 Whale activity anomaly\n\nWhale-tier UTXOs (\u003e10 BTC) minted in the 12-00 UTC window of 2026-10-09: 4,608 — above the trailing 90-day 95th percentile of 4,282. Lift vs baseline decays fast: same-day 1.37× · T+3 1.18× · T+7 1.10× (n=260 fire events since 2020). The signal is coincident, not predictive — but the shorter window catches the anomaly earlier: on average, roughly half the day's eventual move is still ahead when the alert fires. Most recent prior spikes above this threshold: 2026-09-29 (4,638 → same-day +0.1%, T+3 +1.0%) · 2026-09-22 (4,910 → same-day -0.5%, T+3 -2.5%) · 2026-09-19 (4,369 → same-day +0.4%, T+3 +5.9%). BTC closed +0.2% on 2026-10-09 vs the prior day.\n\nMore: https://thebitcoinportal.com\n\n#Bitcoin #BTC",
"sig": "a26331ff9693590fa3dfdf41a13bd7a2219950d38b8d4ff1db5306a979e96d97e484d53b98ebb79f20c13dd3e24d577ad00e3e413b9caba5e7f08129051ccb25"
}