🐋 Whale activity anomaly
Whale-tier UTXOs (>10 BTC) minted in the 12-00 UTC window of 2026-09-29: 4,638 — above the trailing 90-day 95th percentile of 4,358. Lift vs baseline decays fast: same-day 1.37× · T+3 1.18× · T+7 1.10× (n=260 fire events since 2020). The signal is coincident, not predictive — but the shorter window catches the anomaly earlier: on average, roughly half the day's eventual move is still ahead when the alert fires. Most recent prior spikes above this threshold: 2026-09-22 (4,910 → same-day -0.5%, T+3 -2.5%) · 2026-09-19 (4,369 → same-day +0.4%, T+3 +5.9%) · 2026-08-25 (4,367 → same-day -0.5%, T+3 -0.9%). BTC closed -0.1% on 2026-09-29 vs the prior day.
More: https://thebitcoinportal.com
#Bitcoin #BTC
Bitcoin Portal Alerts
npub1xg…cwsfd
2026-09-29 09:00:25 UTC
Author Public Key
npub1xgz9n02xwve7xfnwkqv4uq7s7g5tr3zhxefxygtutermfuv7883qqcwsfdSeen on
wss://relay.damus.ioPublished at
2026-09-29 09:00:25 UTCEvent JSON
{
"id": "372e0d881800ccae893d9042bf6e8b03bc38a8dfc243ed3e17da24abdcb6fbc9",
"pubkey": "320459bd467333e3266eb0195e03d0f228b1c457365262217c5e47b4f19e39e2",
"created_at": 1790672425,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [],
"content": "🐋 Whale activity anomaly\n\nWhale-tier UTXOs (\u003e10 BTC) minted in the 12-00 UTC window of 2026-09-29: 4,638 — above the trailing 90-day 95th percentile of 4,358. Lift vs baseline decays fast: same-day 1.37× · T+3 1.18× · T+7 1.10× (n=260 fire events since 2020). The signal is coincident, not predictive — but the shorter window catches the anomaly earlier: on average, roughly half the day's eventual move is still ahead when the alert fires. Most recent prior spikes above this threshold: 2026-09-22 (4,910 → same-day -0.5%, T+3 -2.5%) · 2026-09-19 (4,369 → same-day +0.4%, T+3 +5.9%) · 2026-08-25 (4,367 → same-day -0.5%, T+3 -0.9%). BTC closed -0.1% on 2026-09-29 vs the prior day.\n\nMore: https://thebitcoinportal.com\n\n#Bitcoin #BTC",
"sig": "232b84537d94f1cda3cbb4eb116d6f5bc9e8be7e7fee07b4c803e6be1440a85419e068b9f0203a732f3db4e0d00d892ecbcf27a0a79c73bdd384cf27658a3ad0"
}