Nostr notes by Grace_Too

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2026-10-20T08:19:41Z

I don't know what ticker the channel was using in their example, the W pattern fail looks like it should be tracked. My 71K is bullish support I'm looking primarily for weekly closes to remain above it

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2026-10-20T08:09:36Z

Long exited a while back. I can't say that I like LN, it's next to impossible to make any money there it seems even if you technically win a trade, that one cost more than it gave. I just don't understand it, but I wanted to give it a shot for many years, and I'm going to look for somewhere better. You put on retarded leverage and make 200 sats while the trade cost 1000 sats lol, and it's been like that since the beginning. I'm not a genius, I don't know what's wrong, it just doesn't feel right. I still have a very positive view of the market over all. I think we're in a bullish accumulation phase and we could react like a rocket to monetary policy at any tweet. But for the time being that weekly trend has come and gone, and the 4hr uptrend has failed, been retested from the bottom and failed again. The highest time frame down trend is the 8hr. I think the quarter pivot point will hold, but we have to wait to see when we get there, if we get there. I was watching some obscure trader pull out some old charts though that are making me wonder about a very bearish case. The chart is similar to what we're currently developing and it should be looked at. Everything to me right now is Bullish accumulation, looking for my levered play still. If I could have sold premium at 83 I would have been, there is so much supply here it's going to take a little longer to get through

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2026-10-10T09:17:56Z

Just looks too good. Thursdays low is my exit. We're 12% from the top of the channel LFG. I'm playing with fun money to keep my analysis in tune. Anyone else here use LN markets? What I love about it, is that when I'm not in a trade, I'm always long 1x in spot. LN Market is for the most bullish

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2026-10-10T09:14:54Z

On a daily chart the "M" has played it's measured move down, I thought the bearish takes were mental yesterday. We're going to sweep the highs at the least. I can't see a wedge at all, this looks like a trend channel.

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2026-10-10T09:00:19Z

Why does price respect this trend line so much. A sweet kiss goodbye, In a sense I kinda of hope so. I'm still looking to put a levered bet on, I'm patiently waiting for an inverse H&S accumulation pattern to materialize and work from there

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2026-10-10T08:50:26Z

Price is under the weekly trend, and reacting at the 4hr that started the rally. The trend is based on the big weekly candles, but when you zoom in, you really see how alive the line is. 2023 lost the trend for a month or more also. The trend is steep, we might not return, but I'm keeping it in the chart

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2026-10-04T23:57:05Z

This week we're closing above the bull trend, doesn't always have to. We've back checked the creek, and I think we're going racing this month. In 2023 October across the 55RSI gaining 28% and it kicked off the a bull run into the ETF launch and new ATHs ahead of the halving. We're only 30% off the quarter pivot high set in the last bull market. We had recent gains of 30% in just 4 weekly candles. LFG!

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2026-10-01T08:33:05Z

Interesting setups, momentum wanes above the creek. I would love to see a higher low.... But everyone wants a higher low. We have a nice "M" forming with bearish divergence, could that set up the right shoulder of a bullish accumulation. I'm looking for a little levered set up still, I've got a fuck ton of FOMO but I'm still waiting. Billion dollar coinbase FUD is not moving the market though

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2026-09-21T08:58:57Z

Inconceivable, except that we've done it before. Cloning the 2012/2013 trend shows that the angle then was still even steeper than my forecast for the next 4 years. It took 4 bars to find the trend in 2023, and I remember thinking that it looked lame but at least it was up. This time it's the opposite, it looks to good to be true. But when you look at the world as it it, I can't say it's improbable. The thing that excites us as a community will likely be a bad forecast for most. Maybe even a prison for us. Ok so your bitcoin went parabolic, but will "big bitcoin" allow it to be fungible. This could be a whole new set of problems if it happens. Orange Trend Theory

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2026-09-20T22:19:58Z

saying we're going to be over 3 million USD/BTC by the halving? The last bull trend took only 4 candles to create, same as this one. In previous bull runs price tended to stay above trend more than not. New ATHs this year, >3m by the havening, with price staying above trend

I'm not making any calls here, but tonight's close will ...

2026-09-20T22:13:55Z

I'm not making any calls here, but tonight's close will give me a valid weekly bull run trend line. All I'm going to say is that if we stay above it, price will be at ATHs by November 23rd. The rate of advance makes me think it will fail, it's too extreme for me to believe. IDAF cause I hodl. All previous bull run trend lines use the exact same rules to plot.

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2026-07-26T22:29:26Z

An hour and a half before the weekly candle closes, will qualify another buy. Would you buy today, or try to catch the low of the week?

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2026-07-19T17:05:41Z

Hey Gary; I'm your huckleberry. I say we jump the creek before 48K what do you say? Creek is 84K.

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2026-07-19T11:27:31Z

We're in the middle of the range, my bias is bullish to 71.3k - QPH are just where candles close quarter pivot points in price. On the daily bitcoin has broken and retested the 2 day down trend, and remains above the 4h counter trend rally.

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2026-07-19T11:07:40Z

Once again another week of some good ole fashion Cardone'eh wood chop. The dominant bear market trend extended out to the supposed 4yr cycle bottom at 49k if October is supposed to meet that definition on a time based correction. I don't think we start a bull run until after whatever the BIP bullshit clears the or plugs the drain. I like sideways just fine. Price action has broken and retested the trend this week. Price action showing it complete respect at this point when you look at the daily and counter trend time frames. This week will signal another buy at the close. Last week's purchase price was 63.7K or lower if you only got to buy on monday's dip.

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2026-05-01T11:03:23Z

I'm working on a new stacking strategy based on value averaging, a concept introduced by Michael Edleson. My idea isn't fully flushed out yet, but according to the strategy, you would be stacking as hard as you can

He looks annoyed that once again he's working and you're ...

2026-02-23T10:43:45Z

In reply to nevent1q…eedp
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He looks annoyed that once again he's working and you're on your phone!

Bah come on Neil. It’s bad enough the FUD is old but top notch ...

2026-02-05T13:18:09Z

In reply to nevent1q…qu4x
_________________________

Bah come on Neil. It’s bad enough the FUD is old but top notch memers need to keep it fresh 😆

Nostr event nevent1qqswce8heu7p8el30lq24y50wf80wnhdnjjfylnzh2uw40qs343nwnszyzk3u5u4lfqeqq75gx9r2cp2n2eyu0maxrvsz8qx5u9gttaev6xqwnalm9r

2026-02-02T08:38:05Z

In reply to nevent1q…wasq
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https://primal.net/e/nevent1qqsf67hqt0vuma40h2q0vauv3d9suw6fw2zjqdrvpprksf7vhhuhu4chsusce This is the shape of how you're feeling. It's not the nominal depreciation of the asset, it's the relentlessness of trend. If my analysis is right, 2026 looks more acute because there is less room for time projected into the future. That means we go down faster, harder but will we stay down for longer? I don't know.